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20 April 2026 Insights EN

The Robotisation Roadmap: Why the Obvious Candidate Is Usually Wrong

In 2018, I was mapping processes at one of Poland's largest foundries. The obvious automation candidate was casting cleaning. It was the wrong answer — and understanding why changed how I think about robotisation roadmaps. With IFR 2024 data and the Tesla case study.

Krakodlew foundry production floor
Krakodlew foundry floor, Kraków — where this story began.

It’s 2018. I’m at one of Poland’s largest foundries, mapping production processes and looking for robotisation candidates. We have budget, board buy-in, and high expectations on every side.

The obvious answer? Casting cleaning.

It’s the most physically punishing job on the floor — grinding, heavy lifting, intense heat, noise, dust. Every operator knows it. Every manager wants it automated. From a human welfare standpoint, it’s the absolute priority.

The problem was: that was the wrong question.

Wrong question = wrong answer

„What’s hardest for people?” is not the same as „what’s the best candidate for robotisation?”

The real decision criteria are different:

  • Process repeatability — can a robot perform this task identically, every time, without exceptions?
  • ROI timeline — when does the investment pay back, and what are the risks?
  • Technical maturity — is the technology stable enough for a production environment?
  • Line resilience — what happens to production when the robot unexpectedly stops?

Casting cleaning made the list — but not at the top.

Robotisation candidate scoring (0–10 composite score across 4 criteria)

Higher score = better automation candidate based on 4 criteria: repeatability, ROI, technical maturity, line resilience

What actually ranked first — and why it surprised everyone

Foundry furnaces — where temperature measurement matters most
Foundry furnaces at Krakodlew — where precise temperature measurement directly determines casting quality.

Temperature measurement in the foundry furnace.

Not dramatic. Nobody visibly suffers. But it satisfies all four criteria simultaneously: fully repeatable, high-frequency, zero tolerance for human error, and a clear ROI calculation. A wrong temperature reading means a defective casting — a direct financial loss and a quality risk for the customer.

A robotisation roadmap isn’t a wish list of what’s hardest for people. It’s a ranked argument for where technology creates the most durable value.

Poland vs. the world: the scale of the challenge

International Federation of Robotics data (IFR 2024) shows where we stand:

Robot density — robots per 10,000 manufacturing workers (IFR 2024)

Source: International Federation of Robotics — World Robotics 2024

Poland has 81 robots per 10,000 workers — nearly 3× below the EU average and 5× below Germany. We’re the largest robotics market in Central & Eastern Europe, but the gap is real. And that’s exactly why the quality of automation decisions matters so much here — there’s no budget for mistakes.

The implementation gap: what leaders say vs. what they do

Source: Windward Studios Manufacturing Automation Statistics 2024

A cautionary tale: when the „obvious choice” costs billions

GIFA 2019 trade fair in Düsseldorf — foundry industry
GIFA 2019 in Düsseldorf — the world’s largest foundry trade fair, where we presented our first industrial VR implementation.

Tesla’s 2017–2018 story is a textbook example of a mistake that plays out across every industry. Tesla installed hundreds of industrial robots to manufacture 5,000 cars per week. The result? They couldn’t produce even 2,500.

Elon Musk publicly admitted: „Excessive automation was a mistake. Humans are underrated.”

2,500

cars/week instead of 5,000 — despite full automation
18–48

months — typical payback period for well-planned automation
120–400%

typical ROI for industrial automation over 3–5 years

Machines are poor at handling unpredictable situations and small deviations. Humans excel at this. The optimal solution is almost always a smart division of labour between human and machine — not full automation.

What actually gets automated

Most commonly automated manufacturing processes (% of companies, Windward Studios 2024)

VR training at the foundry — technology supporting humans
VR training session at Krakodlew — technology designed to support people, not replace them.

Palletizing, material handling, welding — not casting cleaning. The processes that win are those that simultaneously satisfy all four criteria.

The takeaway: a roadmap is an argument, not a wish list

After this analysis in 2018, we came back to the board with a recommendation that surprised everyone. The reaction was genuine shock — because casting cleaning was what „everyone knew should go first.”

A robotisation roadmap isn’t a political document. It’s a ranking that creates durable value — where technology genuinely wins over humans, not where we assume it should.

Have you ever seen the „obvious” automation choice turn out to be the wrong one?


Sources: International Federation of Robotics — World Robotics 2024 | IMD Business School — Tesla automation case study | Windward Studios Manufacturing Automation Statistics 2024 | Photos: own archive, Krakodlew / GIFA 2019